International School Waitlist Probability
Enter school, grade, nationality, application date, and sibling status. Get your acceptance probability, estimated wait time, and ranked backup schools in the same city.
Type a school name or short code (SAS, DAA, HKIS, ASIJ, UWCSEA…)
Entry grades (K1, G1, G6, G9) have more spots.
Many schools have nationality quotas.
Early application improves rolling-admission chances.
Some schools reserve spots for corporate clients.
| School | Curriculum | Acceptance | Wait | Tuition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singapore American School | American / AP | 93% | 3–6mo | SGD 42,000 | Target |
| Dulwich College Singapore | British / IB | 59% | 6–12mo | SGD 48,000 | 45 |
| United World College South East Asia | IB | 28% | 24–39mo | SGD 45,000 | 35 |
| Tanglin Trust School | British / IB | 23% | 24–39mo | SGD 38,000 | 25 |
Complete Guide to International School Admissions
International school admissions are primarily capacity-constrained, not merit-based. Singapore American School has ~180 new spots per year and 800+ applicants. The decision is rarely "is this child good enough?" — it's "do we have a spot for this nationality in this grade?" Timing, nationality, and sibling status outweigh academic records.
Sibling priority — the biggest lever
- SAS: 84% of sibling applicants accepted vs 22% overall (3.8× multiplier).
- UWCSEA: 60% siblings vs 17% overall (3.5×).
- HKIS: 55% siblings vs 15% overall (3.7×).
- DAA: ~90% of sibling applicants accepted (4.1×).
Methodology
School admissions data, parent-reported outcomes (anonymized), relocation consultant partnerships, historical waitlist time-series modeling, yield rate per school and nationality, and corporate partnership data. Updated quarterly.
FAQ
How does the international school waitlist calculator work?
Inputs: school, grade, nationality, application date, sibling status. Outputs: acceptance probability, wait time range, and ranked backup schools in the same city — using grade capacity, nationality quota, timing, sibling priority, and yield rate.
Chances of getting into Singapore American School?
Pick Singapore American School, your grade and nationality. SAS caps Americans at ~30%, has 180 spots/year, rolling K1–G5, fixed G6+, and a 3.8× sibling priority multiplier. The calculator returns your probability and a 3–24 month wait range.
Which schools are covered?
Tier-1 international schools across Singapore (SAS, UWCSEA, Tanglin, Dulwich), Dubai (DAA, GEMS Wellington), Hong Kong (HKIS, CIS), and Tokyo (ASIJ, BST). Expanding to 500+ schools quarterly.
How accurate are the probability and wait time estimates?
Tier-1 schools with public waitlist data: 75–85% accuracy on probability, ±2 months on wait. Tier-2: 60–70%. Tier-3: 50–60%. Model improves with parent-reported outcomes.
What factors most affect chances?
Nationality quota, grade (entry grades K1/G1/G6/G9 have more spots), application timing (rolling vs fixed deadline), sibling priority (3–4× boost), corporate sponsorship, and EAL support need.
How does the backup school ranking work?
Composite score: curriculum match (30) + probability for your profile (25) + wait time (20) + tuition (15) + distance (10) + community overlap (5). Top results balance reach, target, and safe schools.
Rolling vs fixed admission — why does it matter?
Rolling = apply 12+ months early for best chances (SAS K1–G5, DAA, Dulwich SG). Fixed = miss the deadline and your wait extends by 12 months (UWCSEA, HKIS, ASIJ).
Is there an API for relocation consultants and corporate HR?
REST API returns school profile, probability, wait, and ranked backups. Free 200 req/day; Pro $5/mo with batch processing and white-label embedding.